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A cellular automata model for forest fire spread prediction: The case of the wildfire that swept through Spetses Island in 1990

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dc.contributor.author Alexandridis, A en
dc.contributor.author Vakalis, D en
dc.contributor.author Siettos, CI en
dc.contributor.author Bafas, GV en
dc.date.accessioned 2014-03-01T01:27:39Z
dc.date.available 2014-03-01T01:27:39Z
dc.date.issued 2008 en
dc.identifier.issn 0096-3003 en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/123456789/18520
dc.subject Cellular automata en
dc.subject Fire spread dynamics prediction en
dc.subject Forest wildfires en
dc.subject Geographical information systems en
dc.subject Heterogeneous landscapes en
dc.subject Spetses island en
dc.subject.classification Mathematics, Applied en
dc.subject.other Agriculture en
dc.subject.other Automata theory en
dc.subject.other Cellular automata en
dc.subject.other Deforestation en
dc.subject.other Forestry en
dc.subject.other Landforms en
dc.subject.other Nonlinear programming en
dc.subject.other Pattern recognition systems en
dc.subject.other Real time systems en
dc.subject.other Regulatory compliance en
dc.subject.other Translation (languages) en
dc.subject.other Black boxes en
dc.subject.other Cellular automata model en
dc.subject.other Evolution characteristics en
dc.subject.other Fire risks en
dc.subject.other Fire spread dynamics prediction en
dc.subject.other Forest fire spreading en
dc.subject.other Forest fires en
dc.subject.other Forest wildfires en
dc.subject.other Geographical information systems en
dc.subject.other Heterogeneous landscapes en
dc.subject.other Management tools en
dc.subject.other Non-linear optimizations en
dc.subject.other Simulation results en
dc.subject.other Space and time en
dc.subject.other Spetses island en
dc.subject.other Wind speed en
dc.subject.other Fires en
dc.subject.other Agriculture en
dc.subject.other Deforestation en
dc.subject.other Forest Fires en
dc.subject.other Information Systems en
dc.subject.other Mathematical Models en
dc.subject.other Nonlinear Programing en
dc.subject.other Optimization en
dc.subject.other Parameters en
dc.subject.other Plants en
dc.subject.other Risk Assessment en
dc.subject.other Robots en
dc.title A cellular automata model for forest fire spread prediction: The case of the wildfire that swept through Spetses Island in 1990 en
heal.type journalArticle en
heal.identifier.primary 10.1016/j.amc.2008.06.046 en
heal.identifier.secondary http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2008.06.046 en
heal.language English en
heal.publicationDate 2008 en
heal.abstract We present and illustrate the simulation results of a cellular automata model describing the dynamics of a forest fire spread on a mountainous landscape taking into account factors such as the type and density of vegetation, the wind speed and direction and the spotting phenomenon. The model is used to simulate the wildfire that broke up on Spetses in August of 1990 and destroyed a major part of the Island's forest. We used a black-box non-linear optimization approach to fine-tune some of the model's parameters based on a geographical information system incorporating available data from the real forest fire. The comparison between the simulation and the actual-observed results showed that the proposed model predicts in a quite adequate manner the evolution characteristics in space and time of the real incident and as such could be potentially used to develop a fire risk-management tool for heterogeneous landscapes. © 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. en
heal.publisher ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC en
heal.journalName Applied Mathematics and Computation en
dc.identifier.doi 10.1016/j.amc.2008.06.046 en
dc.identifier.isi ISI:000259323600025 en
dc.identifier.volume 204 en
dc.identifier.issue 1 en
dc.identifier.spage 191 en
dc.identifier.epage 201 en


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