| heal.abstract |
Fuel consumption measurement, estimation, and prediction are increasingly prioritized in
the shipping industry, in line with international guidelines. Accurate data from one vessel
are essential for performance monitoring and optimized route planning for a broader fleet.
Conversely, newbuildings often rely on generic yard logbook estimates, offering limited insight
into actual operating conditions.
This thesis develops a tool that leverages preliminary information from technical guides,
shop tests, and sea trials to predict vessel performance under real operational conditions
using statistical analysis. Engine room data, combined with a large dataset from an existing
vessel, provide a detailed representation of the vessel’s operational profile. However,
measurement errors remain and must be addressed through statistical corrections or other
methods to build a robust model. Additional inputs, including detailed engine parameters,
as well as advanced machine learning and regression techniques, could further enhance the
model’s predictive accuracy.
The proposed tool integrates all available technical documentation and operational information,
considering the operation of the vessel’s main prime movers, including the main and
auxiliary engines. A holistic approach based on this model could improve fuel consumption
predictions for specific vessel types, accounting for different machinery configurations and
chartering itineraries, while enhancing the model’s generalization and predictive capabilities
through additional data and analytical tools. |
en |