European energy and CO2 emissions trends to 2020: PRIMES model v.2

Capros, P; Mantzos, L; Vouyoukas, L; Petrellis, D

dc.contributor.author	Capros, P	en
dc.contributor.author	Mantzos, L	en
dc.contributor.author	Vouyoukas, L	en
dc.contributor.author	Petrellis, D	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T01:14:35Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T01:14:35Z
dc.date.issued	1999	en
dc.identifier.issn	02704676	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/13160
dc.subject	Energy analysis	en
dc.subject	Energy forecasting	en
dc.subject	Energy market	en
dc.subject	Environment	en
dc.subject	European Union	en
dc.title	European energy and CO2 emissions trends to 2020: PRIMES model v.2	en
heal.type	journalArticle	en
heal.identifier.primary	10.1177/027046769901900604	en
heal.identifier.secondary	http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/027046769901900604	en
heal.publicationDate	1999	en
heal.abstract	The purpose of this article is to present a summary of a consistent European Union (EU) energy and energy-related emissions outlook for the period to 2020. The material presented here is based on quantitative analysis and on a process of communication with and feedback from a number of energy experts and organizations. All the results presented for EU energy trends are based on the PRIMES partial equilibrium model for the European energy system, version 2. The PRIMES model provides simulation of the energy system and the decisions of the agents and the markets, covering in detail several sectors, uses, and technologies. The results of this analysis indicate that the EU will not meet the obligations for greenhouse gas emissions reductions it undertook at Kyoto unless it introduces policy initiatives for the abatement of energyrelated emissions. Although the industrial, tertiary, household, and transportation sectors can all make significant contributions to CO2 emissions reductions, the electricity- and steam-generation sector appears to offer the greatest potential because of its relative flexibility in terms of technology and fuel choice. Finally, when the only criterion for emissions reductions is economic efficiency, our analysis indicates that reduction levels differ significantly among EU countries.	en
heal.journalName	Bulletin of Science, Technology and Society	en
dc.identifier.doi	10.1177/027046769901900604	en
dc.identifier.volume	19	en
dc.identifier.issue	6	en
dc.identifier.spage	474	en
dc.identifier.epage	492	en