A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows

Makropoulos, C; Koutsoyiannis, D; Stanic, M; Djordjevic, S; Prodanovic, D; Dasic, T; Prohaska, S; Maksimovic, C; Wheater, H

dc.contributor.author	Makropoulos, C	en
dc.contributor.author	Koutsoyiannis, D	en
dc.contributor.author	Stanic, M	en
dc.contributor.author	Djordjevic, S	en
dc.contributor.author	Prodanovic, D	en
dc.contributor.author	Dasic, T	en
dc.contributor.author	Prohaska, S	en
dc.contributor.author	Maksimovic, C	en
dc.contributor.author	Wheater, H	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T01:27:42Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T01:27:42Z
dc.date.issued	2008	en
dc.identifier.issn	0022-1694	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/18553
dc.subject	Black-box models	en
dc.subject	Conceptual models	en
dc.subject	Impact assessment	en
dc.subject	Karstic hydrology	en
dc.subject	Multi-modelling	en
dc.subject	Physically based models	en
dc.subject.classification	Engineering, Civil	en
dc.subject.classification	Geosciences, Multidisciplinary	en
dc.subject.classification	Water Resources	en
dc.subject.other	Calibration	en
dc.subject.other	Hazards	en
dc.subject.other	Hydrology	en
dc.subject.other	Rivers	en
dc.subject.other	Black-box models	en
dc.subject.other	Conceptual models	en
dc.subject.other	Karstic hydrology	en
dc.subject.other	Multi-modeling	en
dc.subject.other	Flow of water	en
dc.subject.other	Calibration	en
dc.subject.other	Flow of water	en
dc.subject.other	Hazards	en
dc.subject.other	Hydrology	en
dc.subject.other	Rivers	en
dc.subject.other	comparative study	en
dc.subject.other	flood control	en
dc.subject.other	flow modeling	en
dc.subject.other	karst hydrology	en
dc.subject.other	tunnel	en
dc.subject.other	Bileca Reservoir	en
dc.subject.other	Bosnia and Herzegovina	en
dc.subject.other	Bregava River	en
dc.subject.other	Eurasia	en
dc.subject.other	Europe	en
dc.subject.other	Fatnicko Polje	en
dc.subject.other	Southern Europe	en
dc.title	A multi-model approach to the simulation of large scale karst flows	en
heal.type	journalArticle	en
heal.identifier.primary	10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011	en
heal.identifier.secondary	http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011	en
heal.language	English	en
heal.publicationDate	2008	en
heal.abstract	The possible effects of water transfer through a tunnel from Fatnicko Polje to Bile a Reservoir on the hydrologic regime of the Bregava River located. in Eastern Herzegovina, in an area characterised by a predominantly karstic terrain, are studied. Three different simulation models of the area were developed and their predictions compared under a range of current and future hydrological and operational management conditions. These are based on a range of modelling approaches from a simplified conceptual approach to a quasi-physically based one. Despite the large complexity of the natural system, the models gave good fits to existing flow data with the most simplified model providing the closest agreement to historical flows. Calibrated models were used to study the possible effects of the intervention under a range of operational scenarios and identify the sources of the associated uncertainties. The results of the work suggest that the system of tunnels in question has a favourable effect in reducing flood hazard in the area, thus liberating scarce land resources for agriculture, and in reducing flows in the Bregava River (especially high flows). It is also suggested that a significant reduction in the uncertainty of modelling the karstic environment can be achieved by an appropriate, complementary combination of modelling approaches viewed as a multi-model ensemble. (c) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.	en
heal.publisher	ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV	en
heal.journalName	Journal of Hydrology	en
dc.identifier.doi	10.1016/j.jhydrol.2007.10.011	en
dc.identifier.isi	ISI:000252749000014	en
dc.identifier.volume	348	en
dc.identifier.issue	3-4	en
dc.identifier.spage	412	en
dc.identifier.epage	424	en