Prediction of pavement crack initiation from in-service pavements: A duration model approach

Loizos, A; Karlaftis, MG

dc.contributor.author	Loizos, A	en
dc.contributor.author	Karlaftis, MG	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T02:43:28Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T02:43:28Z
dc.date.issued	2005	en
dc.identifier.issn	0361-1981	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/31429
dc.subject	Crack Initiation	en
dc.subject	Duration Model	en
dc.subject.classification	Engineering, Civil	en
dc.subject.classification	Transportation	en
dc.subject.classification	Transportation Science & Technology	en
dc.subject.other	Crack initiation	en
dc.subject.other	Data acquisition	en
dc.subject.other	Deterioration	en
dc.subject.other	Traffic control	en
dc.subject.other	Deterioration models	en
dc.subject.other	Pavement management systems	en
dc.subject.other	Stochastic duration	en
dc.subject.other	Pavements	en
dc.title	Prediction of pavement crack initiation from in-service pavements: A duration model approach	en
heal.type	conferenceItem	en
heal.identifier.primary	10.3141/1940-05	en
heal.identifier.secondary	http://dx.doi.org/10.3141/1940-05	en
heal.language	English	en
heal.publicationDate	2005	en
heal.abstract	It is widely accepted that the success of pavement management systems largely depends on the quality of the deterioration models embedded in their structure. As such, much research has concentrated on developing a large array of approaches to model and predict pavement distress and deterioration. This study develops surface distress prediction models for pavement failure times (the initiation of cracking on the surface of flexible and semirigid pavements) on the basis of a large (more that 1,000 observations) and recent (1998) data set collected from in-service pavements in 15 European countries by using the principles of stochastic duration (hazard) models. The results indicate that, as expected, construction, traffic, and climatic factors affect pavement distress and that the lognormal functional form, in contrast with the findings of previous studies, best describes the distress initiation process.	en
heal.publisher	TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH BOARD NATL RESEARCH COUNCIL	en
heal.journalName	Transportation Research Record	en
heal.bookName	TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD	en
dc.identifier.doi	10.3141/1940-05	en
dc.identifier.isi	ISI:000237194500005	en
dc.identifier.issue	1940	en
dc.identifier.spage	38	en
dc.identifier.epage	42	en