Diffusion of mobile telecommunications services in Europe and Japan

Xenikos, DG

dc.contributor.author	Xenikos, DG	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T02:53:11Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T02:53:11Z
dc.date.issued	2011	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/36183
dc.subject	Diffusion models	en
dc.subject	Dynamics of social systems	en
dc.subject	Mobile telephony	en
dc.subject	Technology forecasting	en
dc.subject	Weibull distribution	en
dc.subject.other	Diffusion model	en
dc.subject.other	Dynamics of social systems	en
dc.subject.other	Mobile telephony	en
dc.subject.other	Technology forecasting	en
dc.subject.other	Weibull	en
dc.subject.other	Diffusion	en
dc.subject.other	Dynamics	en
dc.subject.other	Technological forecasting	en
dc.subject.other	Weibull distribution	en
dc.subject.other	Information technology	en
dc.title	Diffusion of mobile telecommunications services in Europe and Japan	en
heal.type	conferenceItem	en
heal.identifier.primary	10.1109/FITCE.2011.6133455	en
heal.identifier.secondary	http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/FITCE.2011.6133455	en
heal.identifier.secondary	6133455	en
heal.publicationDate	2011	en
heal.abstract	This work focuses on common diffusion characteristics in the evolution of national mobile telecommunications markets. The study examines 1G, 2G and 2.5G technologies that coexisted during the period 1991-2003 but exhibited different market penetration rates. In almost all cases studied, it is found that the technology adopters initially increase following a power-law, approximately quadratic or cubic. Furthermore, when the whole life-cycle of the telecommunication service is taken into account, the corresponding sigmoid growth curve is consistent with Weibull diffusion dynamics. Such universal diffusion characteristics appear in nations with diverse cultural, political and economic environment, and seem independent of the details of collective behavior or the interactions among technology adopters. It is argued that they may, instead, be associated with fundamental aspects of human decision dynamics and the individual's memory of external stimuli. In this direction, recent advances in the research of human dynamics suggest new interpretations of technology diffusion statistics in today's globalized social environment. © 2011 IEEE.	en
heal.journalName	2011 50th FITCE Congress - ""ICT: Bridging an Ever Shifting Digital Divide"", FITCE 2011	en
dc.identifier.doi	10.1109/FITCE.2011.6133455	en