Extreme rainfall intensities and long-term rainfall risk from tropical cyclones

Langousis, A; Veneziano, D

dc.contributor.author	Langousis, A	en
dc.contributor.author	Veneziano, D	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T02:54:08Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T02:54:08Z
dc.date.issued	2009	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/36639
dc.title	Extreme rainfall intensities and long-term rainfall risk from tropical cyclones	en
heal.type	conferenceItem	en
heal.publicationDate	2009	en
heal.abstract	We develop a methodology to estimate the rate of extreme rainfalls at coastal sites due to tropical cyclones (TCs). A basic component of the methodology is the probability distribution of ID,max, the maximum rainfall intensity at the site over a period D during the passage of a TC with given characteristics θ. The long-term rainfall risk is obtained by combining the conditional distribution of (ID,max\|θ) with a recurrence model for θ. To illustrate the use of the model for long-term rainfall risk analysis, we formulate a recurrence model for tropical cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico that make landfall between longitudes 85o-95oW and compare the intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves for New Orleans obtained by the present model with similar curves in the literature based on continuous rainfall records. The latter include all types of rainstorms.	en