On the appropriateness of the Gumbel distribution for modelling extreme rainfall (solicited)

Koutsoyiannis, D

dc.contributor.author	Koutsoyiannis, D	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T02:54:16Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T02:54:16Z
dc.date.issued	2004	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/36779
dc.title	On the appropriateness of the Gumbel distribution for modelling extreme rainfall (solicited)	en
heal.type	conferenceItem	en
heal.publicationDate	2004	en
heal.abstract	For half a century, the Gumbel distribution has been the prevailing model for quantifying risk associated with extreme rainfall. Several arguments including theoretical reasons and empirical evidence are supposed to support the appropriateness of the Gumbel distribution. These arguments are examined thoroughly in this work and are put into question. Moreover, it is shown that the Gumbel distribution may misjudge the hydrological risk as it underestimates seriously the largest extreme rainfall amounts. Besides, it is shown that the three-parameter extreme value distribution of type II is a more consistent alternative and it is discussed how this distribution can be applied even with short hydrological records.	en