Peak Car effects on scheme appraisal

Σπηλιοπούλου, Χριστίνα; Spiliopoulou, Christina

dc.contributor.author	Σπηλιοπούλου, Χριστίνα	el
dc.contributor.author	Spiliopoulou, Christina	en
dc.date.accessioned	2015-04-01T10:16:51Z
dc.date.available	2015-04-01T10:16:51Z
dc.date.issued	2015-04-01
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/40510
dc.identifier.uri	http://dx.doi.org/10.26240/heal.ntua.3673
dc.description	Εθνικό Μετσόβιο Πολυτεχνείο--Μεταπτυχιακή Εργασία. Διεπιστημονικό-Διατμηματικό Πρόγραμμα Μεταπτυχιακών Σπουδών (Δ.Π.Μ.Σ.) “Γεωπληροφορική”	en
dc.rights	Αναφορά Δημιουργού-Όχι Παράγωγα Έργα 3.0 Ελλάδα	*
dc.rights.uri	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/3.0/gr/	*
dc.subject	Μεταφορές	el
dc.subject	Προβλέψεις ζήτησης	el
dc.subject	Αξιολόγηση έργων	el
dc.subject	Σχελεδιασμός μεταφορών	el
dc.title	Peak Car effects on scheme appraisal	en
heal.type	masterThesis
heal.classification	Transport	el
heal.language	en
heal.access	free
heal.recordProvider	ntua	el
heal.publicationDate	2014-10
heal.abstract	The phenomenon of peak car has been introduced among transport professionals and academics during the past decade. It is based on the analysis of a series of indicators related to car use and travel behaviour. It implies that the use of car, that has been increasing since its first appearance, will either drop or increase at a significantly decreased rate. The basic indicator examined behind this theory is the average distance travelled by car that has dropped in combination with a decreased number of driving licenses among young adults, mainly men. These trends have been observed to be similar in different countries of the world, implying a universal trend. Should peak car occur in the future, it will affect our current forecasting. This study focuses on the impact that peak car would have on scheme appraisal and specifically its economic impacts, should our current forecasts be proven to be wrong. It focuses on the example of an 80km section of the A12 that forms part of the strategic road network οf the U.K. The official scheme appraisal guidelines and best practice methods followed in the U.K. have been used and combined with a methodology that assesses the economic impact of inaccuracies in traffic forecasting. The results of this study reveal a significant additional cost if the current forecasting is proven to be wrong. A range of forecasting inaccuracies has been tested and it is shown that if they occur in the future, the basis on which decisions are done today will be out of date and the economic inaccuracies will be significant. It signifies the need to better investigate travel trends and incorporate a series of alternative scenarios in scheme appraisal to account for inaccuracies in the present forecasts.	en
heal.advisorName	Αντωνίου, Κωνσταντίνος	el
heal.committeeMemberName	Ψαριανός, Βασίλειος	en
heal.committeeMemberName	Σπυροπούλου, Ιωάννα	en
heal.academicPublisher	Εθνικό Μετσόβιο Πολυτεχνείο. Σχολή Αγρονόμων και Τοπογράφων Μηχανικών	el
heal.academicPublisherID	ntua
heal.numberOfPages	121 σ.	el
heal.fullTextAvailability	true