heal.abstract |
Pressure vessels and other critical for safety components used in today’s industry require careful
structural integrity assessment. A factor that should be determined in order to assess the integrity
and lifetime of structures is residual stresses. Residual stresses are encountered in the welding region
of these components, due to the uneven thermal distribution during welding. Measurements of
residual stresses can be achieved by various techniques, but have their disadvantages, for instance
cost, inaccuracy, and that in some of them the removal of material is required. The prediction of
residual stresses can be achieved computationally, with Finite Element Simulation, but again there are
disadvantages, for example inaccuracy due to assumptions for welding parameters and computational
cost. Another method that has been proposed recently for the prediction of residual stresses is
machine learning, which is cost-effective, and it appears promising in terms of accuracy of predictions.
Machine learning has been used in literature for predicting results of Finite Element Simulations as
well as predicting results of measurements.
In the current study, the residual stresses induced by welding were predicted using an ensemble of
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). The acquired data concern measurements of through-thickness
residual stress profiles of austenitic stainless steel pipes in Weld Centre Line (WCL) and Heat Affected
Zone (HAZ) regions. To assess the various architectures of Artificial Neural Networks an objective
function was formed, which was based on four criteria, namely training and generalisation error,
solution space consistency and feedforward architecture. One hidden layer was selected due to
the simplicity of the problem, and fifteen different architectures were assessed, with number of
nodes varying from one to fifteen. To eliminate any bias induced by the initial weight selection,
each architecture was initialised to fifteen different random initial weights. The objective function
was computed, and the five architectures with lowest median value of objective function were then
selected to form the final model.
The proposed methodology was then assessed by performance metrics, and it was compared with the
performance of two other methodologies. Firstly, it was compared with a single architecture model,
where only one architecture is selected based on the minimum median value of objective function.
Secondly, the proposed methodology was compared with the scenario of using all the architectures
that were considered for the ensemble, without any filtering by the objective function. The results
obtained showed that the proposed methodology performs better than selecting a single architecture
and slightly better than selecting all the architectures considered. |
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