heal.abstract |
Navigational Accidents are a common occurrence within the Maritime Industry. The danger such accidents
present to human life, along with their environmental and economic impact, cannot be understated.
Navigational Accidents, namely Collisions and Groundings that pertain to Oil Tankers, are a considerable
source of Risk that concerns shipowners and international organizations associated with Maritime
Transportation. Over the years, significant regulatory steps have been made to reduce said Risk, however
the level of danger that is still observable is significant. This Diploma Thesis begins with the Initial Risk
calculation of Collisions and Groundings, using a Hazard Identification process that offers distinguished
causes of Navigational Accidents as well as outcomes that follow them. After this extensive calculation,
that produces Safety, Environmental, and Property Risk for individual ships and the world Oil Tanker Fleet,
preventive and mitigative Risk Control Options are proposed that are targeted towards each Navigational
Accident Causal Event. The effects of those Risk Control Options on the Frequency and Consequences of
Collisions and Groundings are calculated and comparisons are made. For all Risk evaluations and
quantifications, the Delphi Technique, a structured forecasting method, was utilized to reach consensus
conclusions within a group of qualified and experienced expert groups of various roles within the Oil
Tanker Industry.
The results provided Initial as well as Residual Risk – before and after the implementation of the RCOs –
for each Hazardous Event Sequence, through which the effectiveness of each RCO was derived. Significant
reduction of Risk was produced through addressing the most high-risk scenarios. However, even the least
effective RCOs produced significant results, especially when the world Tanker fleet is to be considered. It
was made clear that evaluation of all possible scenarios through expert opinion needs an all-encompassing
approach that progressively leads to unanimity, while selected Risk Control Options should be targeted
towards identified dangers and be designed to be seamlessly incorporated in the ship’s navigational
operations. |
en |