Stochastic projection of the population distribution in Greece

Georgakis, G; Tziafetas, G

dc.contributor.author	Georgakis, G	en
dc.contributor.author	Tziafetas, G	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T01:06:05Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T01:06:05Z
dc.date.issued	1982	en
dc.identifier.issn	00462756	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/9153
dc.subject	Eigenvalues	en
dc.subject	Rural Area	en
dc.subject	Stochastic Control	en
dc.subject	Stochastic Method	en
dc.subject.other	spatial distribution	en
dc.subject.other	article	en
dc.subject.other	Demographic Factors	en
dc.subject.other	demography	en
dc.subject.other	developed country	en
dc.subject.other	Estimation Technics	en
dc.subject.other	Europe	en
dc.subject.other	forecasting	en
dc.subject.other	Geographic Factors	en
dc.subject.other	geography	en
dc.subject.other	Greece	en
dc.subject.other	Mediterranean Countries	en
dc.subject.other	migration	en
dc.subject.other	Migration, Internal	en
dc.subject.other	population	en
dc.subject.other	population and population related phenomena	en
dc.subject.other	population dynamics	en
dc.subject.other	Population Projection	en
dc.subject.other	probability	en
dc.subject.other	research	en
dc.subject.other	Research Methodology	en
dc.subject.other	rural population	en
dc.subject.other	Southern Europe	en
dc.subject.other	urban population	en
dc.subject.other	Demographic Factors	en
dc.subject.other	Developed Countries	en
dc.subject.other	Estimation Technics	en
dc.subject.other	Europe	en
dc.subject.other	Geographic Factors	en
dc.subject.other	Greece	en
dc.subject.other	Markov Chain	en
dc.subject.other	Mediterranean Countries	en
dc.subject.other	Migration	en
dc.subject.other	Migration, Internal	en
dc.subject.other	Population	en
dc.subject.other	Population Characteristics	en
dc.subject.other	Population Dynamics	en
dc.subject.other	Population Projection	en
dc.subject.other	Research Methodology	en
dc.subject.other	Rural Population	en
dc.subject.other	Southern Europe	en
dc.subject.other	Spatial Distribution	en
dc.subject.other	Urban Population	en
dc.subject.other	Demography	en
dc.subject.other	Developed Countries	en
dc.subject.other	Emigration and Immigration	en
dc.subject.other	Europe	en
dc.subject.other	Forecasting	en
dc.subject.other	Geography	en
dc.subject.other	Greece	en
dc.subject.other	Markov Chains	en
dc.subject.other	Population	en
dc.subject.other	Population Characteristics	en
dc.subject.other	Population Dynamics	en
dc.subject.other	Research	en
dc.subject.other	Residential Mobility	en
dc.subject.other	Rural Population	en
dc.subject.other	Statistics	en
dc.subject.other	Urban Population	en
dc.title	Stochastic projection of the population distribution in Greece	en
heal.type	journalArticle	en
heal.identifier.primary	10.1007/BF02917606	en
heal.identifier.secondary	http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/BF02917606	en
heal.publicationDate	1982	en
heal.abstract	This paper is concerned with applications of stochastic methods to project the population distributions in Greece. Particularly, having the statistical data of the census in 1961 and 1971 and imposing some assumptions on the population mobility, the transition matrices between urban, semi-urban and rural areas were obtained for each one of the nine Greek geographic divisions. Similarly, having the statistical data on births, deaths and migration during the time-period 1961-1971, the growth operator was estimated by the use of the method of the algebraic eigenvalues. By this way estimations of the population distribution were obtained for every geographic region yearly. As it appears from the results of the analysis, in comparison with the census results, the estimations were satisfactory. The predictions for the time-period 1971-1981 must be compared with the expected results of the census in 1981, because the National Statistical Service does not project population distributions for geographic subdivisions. Finally, in the last paragraph, stochastic control methods were introduced in order to obtain a goal population distribution and its maintainable region. © 1982 Martinus Nijhoff.	en
heal.publisher	Springer Netherlands	en
heal.journalName	European Demographic Information Bulletin	en
dc.identifier.doi	10.1007/BF02917606	en
dc.identifier.volume	13	en
dc.identifier.issue	3	en
dc.identifier.spage	120	en
dc.identifier.epage	134	en