Professional evolution in hierarchical organizations

Mitropoulos, CS

dc.contributor.author	Mitropoulos, CS	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T01:06:11Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T01:06:11Z
dc.date.issued	1983	en
dc.identifier.issn	0377-2217	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/9220
dc.relation.uri	http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-0020849311&partnerID=40&md5=01242d76616fd115c432d00571d35455	en
dc.subject.classification	Management	en
dc.subject.classification	Operations Research & Management Science	en
dc.subject.other	OPERATIONS RESEARCH	en
dc.title	Professional evolution in hierarchical organizations	en
heal.type	journalArticle	en
heal.language	English	en
heal.publicationDate	1983	en
heal.abstract	One of the major problems faced by the top managers of hierarchical organizations (e.g., Army, Police, etc.) is that of the professional evolution of its members, and the repercussions of this on the performance of the organization. The model presented in this article is designed to describe the evolutionary process in a strictly hierarchical manpower system, consisting of k discrete levels, and in which one can enter only at level 1. It is a descriptive model which answers such questions as, how long will it take, on average, for an employee to reach level i(i = 1,2,..., k); what is the probability of leaving the system after t years of service; or what is the expected length of service in the system? The model allows for the determination of wastage and promotion rates for each of the levels of the organization, and for the recruitment rate, either via simulation or by employing an optimization technique. In the present case Kalman filter is employed for estimating the various rates and to produce forecasts of the system's future state. © 1983.	en
heal.publisher	ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV	en
heal.journalName	European Journal of Operational Research	en
dc.identifier.isi	ISI:A1983RN07800010	en
dc.identifier.volume	14	en
dc.identifier.issue	3	en
dc.identifier.spage	295	en
dc.identifier.epage	304	en