Hazard identification & risk ranking of AFRAMAX tankers by expert judgement

Delautre, S; Aksu, S; Tuzcu, C; Mikelis, N; Papanikolaou, A

dc.contributor.author	Delautre, S	en
dc.contributor.author	Aksu, S	en
dc.contributor.author	Tuzcu, C	en
dc.contributor.author	Mikelis, N	en
dc.contributor.author	Papanikolaou, A	en
dc.date.accessioned	2014-03-01T02:50:06Z
dc.date.available	2014-03-01T02:50:06Z
dc.date.issued	2005	en
dc.identifier.uri	https://dspace.lib.ntua.gr/xmlui/handle/123456789/34897
dc.relation.uri	http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?eid=2-s2.0-60749124936&partnerID=40&md5=e7b17475545733ce5c8497e8267e57f4	en
dc.subject.other	Critical accidents	en
dc.subject.other	Design and operations	en
dc.subject.other	Environment systems	en
dc.subject.other	Environmental damage	en
dc.subject.other	Expert judgement	en
dc.subject.other	General approach	en
dc.subject.other	Hazard identification	en
dc.subject.other	Historical database	en
dc.subject.other	International regulations	en
dc.subject.other	Political pressures	en
dc.subject.other	Pollution prevention	en
dc.subject.other	Primary objective	en
dc.subject.other	Quantitative information	en
dc.subject.other	Rational risks	en
dc.subject.other	Research programmes	en
dc.subject.other	Risk controls	en
dc.subject.other	Risk ranking	en
dc.subject.other	Safety issues	en
dc.subject.other	Accidents	en
dc.subject.other	Database systems	en
dc.subject.other	Laws and legislation	en
dc.subject.other	Natural resources	en
dc.subject.other	Oceanography	en
dc.subject.other	Pollution control	en
dc.subject.other	Risk analysis	en
dc.subject.other	Risk management	en
dc.subject.other	Risk perception	en
dc.subject.other	Safety factor	en
dc.subject.other	Tankers (ships)	en
dc.subject.other	Waterway transportation	en
dc.subject.other	Risk assessment	en
dc.title	Hazard identification & risk ranking of AFRAMAX tankers by expert judgement	en
heal.type	conferenceItem	en
heal.publicationDate	2005	en
heal.abstract	ABSTRACT: The Erika (1999) and the Prestige (2002) accidents have caused major pollution on European waters/shores, and have increased society's awareness of safety issues and the aversion to risk. As a result of the increased social and political pressures, stringent international regulations have been put into force, as often done without a proper rational risk analysis. In January 2004, the EC funded project named ""Pollution Prevention & Control"" started to address this issue through a research programme, with the primary objective of developing a framework for assessing the risk associated with design and operation of a tanker. The project started by identifying the high risk hazards of the tanker-environment system, i.e. the critical accident scenarios involving the vessel's loss of watertight integrity and which consequently can cause pollution and environmental damages. To this end, a risk assessment was performed & supported at an earlier stage by the analysis of a tanker accident database (developed for the scope of the project) which is based on about 1300 AFRAMAX tanker accidents records for the period 1978 to 2003. Because of the partly insufficient quantitative information from the analysis of the employed tanker accident database, the study was supported by an expert judgements session. Basically three types of questions were addressed by the experts: How likely are the scenarios? What are the consequences of these scenarios? What risk control options could be implemented in order to prevent or mitigate such risk? The paper starts by presenting briefly the general approach undertaken for the risk assessment and then attention is paid to the expert session and in particular to the analysis of the results coming from the meeting. The paper finally attempts a comparison of results from the analysis of the employed historical database with those of the expert session. © 2005 Taylor & Francis Group.	en
heal.journalName	Proceedings of the 12th International Congress of the International Maritime Association of the Mediterranean, IMAM 2005 - Maritime Transportation and Exploitation of Ocean and Coastal Resources	en
dc.identifier.volume	2	en
dc.identifier.spage	1511	en
dc.identifier.epage	1519	en